Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.041192 0.044786 0.048411 0.052334 0.056454 0.060645 0.065226
2025-09-21 0.035973 0.041298 0.046846 0.053034 0.059718 0.066698 0.074516
2025-09-28 0.032516 0.039199 0.046365 0.054565 0.063633 0.073303 0.084343
2025-10-05 0.028279 0.035812 0.044123 0.053870 0.064887 0.076863 0.090771
2025-10-12 0.025428 0.033693 0.043050 0.054262 0.067177 0.081441 0.098242
2025-10-19 0.023273 0.032165 0.042473 0.055065 0.069810 0.086319 0.105999
2025-10-26 0.021335 0.030718 0.041840 0.055677 0.072122 0.090766 0.113227
2025-11-02 0.018442 0.027866 0.039334 0.053894 0.071492 0.091714 0.116355
2025-11-09 0.016522 0.026088 0.038005 0.053410 0.072297 0.094248 0.121253
2025-11-16 0.014923 0.024601 0.036935 0.053148 0.073290 0.096948 0.126301
2025-11-23 0.014244 0.024286 0.037310 0.054649 0.076404 0.102153 0.134302
2025-11-30 0.013514 0.023841 0.037470 0.055845 0.079122 0.106875 0.141735
2025-12-07 0.012592 0.023093 0.037226 0.056546 0.081277 0.110999 0.148571
2025-12-14 0.011596 0.022169 0.036697 0.056844 0.082909 0.114489 0.154665
2025-12-21 0.011052 0.021870 0.036989 0.058199 0.085873 0.119615 0.162757
2025-12-28 0.009823 0.020443 0.035654 0.057341 0.085974 0.121191 0.166528
2026-01-04 0.009076 0.019705 0.035236 0.057675 0.087580 0.124615 0.172550
2026-01-11 0.008528 0.019239 0.035176 0.058468 0.089766 0.128754 0.179450
2026-01-18 0.007972 0.018716 0.035001 0.059080 0.091700 0.132576 0.185964
2026-01-25 0.006810 0.017068 0.033089 0.057216 0.090319 0.132174 0.187220
2026-02-01 0.006092 0.016124 0.032176 0.056706 0.090697 0.133976 0.191197
2026-02-08 0.005490 0.015332 0.031452 0.056430 0.091361 0.136126 0.195599
2026-02-15 0.005336 0.015364 0.032004 0.057987 0.094507 0.141473 0.204034